The fringes of the Top 10 in 2012

by thriding

For all of 2012 Nos.1-4 have been Djokovic, Federer, Nadal and Murray

For all of 2012 Nos. 5-7 have been Ferrer, Tsonga and Berdych

At the start of the year the the last three places of the top 10, and the next three places were:

  • 8. Fish
  • 9. Tipsarevic
  • 10. Almagro
  • 11. Del Potro
  • 12. Simon
  • 13. Soderling

After the Australian Open Monfils replaced Soderling’s place in this 8-13 bracket, and then he in turn was replaced by Isner. As of today, thanks to winning the Hamburg ATP500, Monaco has jumped to No.10, pushing Simon (last year’s winner of Hamburg) out of this bracket.

First a comparison of the statistics of the six players currently ranked 8-13, and then, under that some conclusions

8. Tipsarevic

  • Started 2012 at: 9
  • During 2012: Nos. 8-10
  • Top 10 in 2012: 30 weeks
  • 2012 win-loss: 39-15
  • 2012 slams: R32 / R16 / R32 
  • 2012 Masters: Madrid SF, Miami QF
  • 2012 titles: World Team Championship, Stuttgart
  • career finals: 3-7
  • Masters: 2 SFs
  • Slam: 1 QF

9. Del Potro

  • Started 2012 at: 11
  • During 2012: Nos. 9-12 
  • Top 10 in 2012: 20 weeks
  • 2012 win-loss: 40-10
  • 2012 slams: QF / QF / R16
  • 2012 Masters:  Madrid SF, Indian Wells QF
  • 2012 titles: Marseille, Estoril
  • career finals: 11-5 (1 GS, 3 ATP500s)
  • Masters: 1 RU, 4 SFs
  • Slams: 1 W, 1 SF, 4 QFs

10. Monaco

  • Started 2012 at: 26
  • During 2012: Nos. 10-29  
  • Top 10 in 2012: 1 week
  • 2012 win-loss: 31-10
  • 2012 slams: R128 / R16 / R32
  • 2012 Masters: Miami SF
  • 2012 titles: Vina del Mar, Houston, Hamburg 500
  • career finals: 6-9 (2 ATP500s)
  • Masters: 2 SF
  • Slams: never beyond R16

11. Isner

  • Started 2012 at: 18
  • During 2012: Nos. 9-18  
  • Top 10 in 2012: 11 weeks
  • 2012 win-loss: 30-13 
  • 2012 slams: R32 / R64 / R128
  • 2012 Masters: Indian Wells RU
  • 2012 titles: Newport
  • career finals: 4-7
  • Masters: 1 RU, 1 SF
  • Slams: 1 QF

12. Almagro

  • Started 2012 at: 10
  • During 2012: Nos. 10-14 (only 1 week at 14)
  • Top 10 in 2012: 5 weeks
  • 2012 win-loss: 46-15
  • 2012 slams: R16 / QF / R32
  • 2012 Masters: Indian Wells QF
  • 2012 titles: Sao Paulo, Nice
  • career finals: 12-6 (2 ATP500s)
  • Masters: 1 SF
  • Slams: 3 QFs

13. Fish

  • Started 2012 at: 8
  • During 2012: Nos. 8-13
  • Top 10 in 2012: 22 weeks
  • 2012 win-loss: 10-8
  • 2012 slams: R64 / – / R16
  • 2012 Masters: Miami QF
  • 2012 titles: –
  • career finals: 6-14
  • Masters: 4 RU, 2 SFs
  • Slam: 3 QFs

Weeks in Top 10:

  • 30: Tipsarevic
  • 22: Fish
  • 20: Del Potro
  • 11: Isner
  • 5: Almagro
  • 1: Monaco

If Fish’s fitness has stabilised after a troubled year so far, should we expect him to regain his usual place in the top 10 with Tipsarevic and Del Potro?

2012 win-loss:

  • Almagro: 46-15
  • Del Potro 40-10
  • Tipsarevic: 39-15
  • Monaco 31-10
  • Isner 30-13
  • Fish: 10-8

Almagro has played the most in 2012, has won two titles, yet has slipped from the top 10

Titles in 2012:

  • 3: Monaco
  • 2: Tipsarevic, Del Potro, Almagro
  • 1: Isner
  • 0: Fish

As well as having the most titles, Monaco is the only of these players to have won an ATP500 this year

Career finals:

  • Almagro: 12-6
  • Del Potro: 11-5
  • Fish: 6-14
  • Monaco: 6-9
  • Isner: 4-7
  • Tipsarevic: 3-7

Almagro has the most titles; also of his 6 lost finals, 5 were to Ferrer. Del Potro obviously stands out as the only one with a Grand Slam title. Fish similarly stands out for having reached 4 Masters finals, which he lost to Roddick, Federer and Djokovic (twice)

Conclusions:

Isner (up 7 places since 2011) has the best Masters result of the six, but the worst record in the 3 slams, with a 3-3 record, and second lowest number of titles. The most inconsistent of the six

Tipsarevic (up 1 place) has had the most consistent year, and has spent all of 2012 in the Top 10. At the slams he has not reached a QF.

Monaco (up 16 places) has built his rise on success at the less fashionable clay tournaments (cf Almagro and, to a degree, Ferrer) plus a SF at Miami

Fish (down 5 places) has played the least of the six, thanks to a variety of health problems. His pedigree – he has the best ATP1000s results, and his slam record is second only to Del Potro – would suggest that his place in the top 10 is dependent only on his health. He and Del Potro are the only ones of the six to have been ranked higher than No.8

Almagro (down 2 places) has had a better slam record than Tipsarevic and has won as many titles, but has only reached one Masters QF. He has been very busy in 2012, and defending a lot of points in the process. However in the rest of 2012 he will only be defending 380 of 2,545 ranking points, so maybe we should expect a rise through the rest of the year?

Del Potro (up 2 places) has by far the best slam record of this six in 2012, and indeed in his career. In 2011 he had an indifferent summer – R32 at US Open and at Cincinnati and Canada Masters, and a worse autumn: he didn’t play at either the Shanghai or Paris Masters, and then lost both his singles ties in the Davis Cup final against Spain. Given his proven talent, his generally steady performance so far in 2012 and his having only 360 of 3,180 points to defend in the rest of 2012, surely the time has come for him to break out of this 8-13 bracket and challenge Berdych, Tsonga and Ferrer in the heart of the Top 10.

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